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RE: The Solar System is Special

 
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RE: The Solar System is Special - 8/27/2008 2:12:02 AM   
BVZ

 

Posts: 355
Joined: 11/2/2006
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Bettawrekonize

quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud
You are claiming that if we "don't know if there is life out there" we can't claim that the only known instance of life is a special circumstance; that logic is backwards - until we know if there is other life out there, the only known circumstances in which life is known to occur can certainly be considered to be special - unique even.

That is the only proposition which can be falsified, and thus the only real scientific claim in this discussion.


It's like the whole unicorn argument. If I claim that there are no unicorns, such a claim is scientific because it's falsifiable. Arguing that, "we don't know if there is a unicorn out there and we don't know that they don't exist" does not negate the scientific nature of the statement that unicorns don't exist.


Scientists are not claiming that there is no life outside out solar system. Neither are they claiming that there is. What they are claiming is this: "It seems statistically propable, so it's worth looking."

There goes your argument out the window. Classic example of a straw man argument by the way.

quote:


quote:


But you agree that you don't know if there is life outside out solar system or not?


Science does not deal with absolute proof. We can't absolutely prove that unicorns don't exist, but claiming that they don't is a falsifiable, and hence scientific, statement.


Just answer the question. Do you know if there is life outside out solar system or not?
Post #: 51
RE: The Solar System is Special - 8/27/2008 2:29:42 AM   
Jhud


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Joined: 4/11/2005
From: Lake Wobegon
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quote:

You admit that you have no argument. You don't have any logical pathway leading to your conclusion. When I pointed this out to you in post 44, you responded with this, in post 45:


Well, I never made that particular argument to begin with; you assumed it.

quote:

You admit that you have no argument. You don't have any logical pathway leading to your conclusion. When I pointed this out to you in post 44, you responded with this, in post 45:


Well, no, I am simply arguing that contrary to the Copernican Principle our solar system appears to be exceptional. You have presented no evidence to the contrary.

quote:

So, now you are saying that you do have an argument. You obviously don't.

Here are your options:

1) Present an argument presenting your case.
2) Stop pretending that you have an argument.


It's a simple argument - I made it several times - you never demonstrated anything to the contrary.

quote:

The way you use 'exceptional' here, is NOT objective. Also, it makes no difference.

Lets use exceptional in stead and see where that gets us:

Do you have an argument that leads if from "the Earth is exceptional" to "the Earth is designed"? If you have, present it.


I presented the latest research in the OP.

quote:

How dishonest of you.

Here is the original quote:

Juhd: But you are the one basing your belief on gaps in our knowledge, not I.

I respond with this:

BVZ: What are those? Examples please.

YOU CHANGED THE QUOTES! You claimed that evolution supporters 'are the ones basing thier beliefs on gaps in thier knowledge'. I ask for examples.

Support your claim, or retract it.


You have made a bit of a muddle. I am simply saying that despite your assertion that we can't prove there is no other life in the universe, we can say that at this point in our knowledge our solar system is exceptional.

quote:

Answer the question. Do you agree that we don't know if there is life outside out solar system or not?


Sure, just as I agree we don't know that there are unicorns in a secret forest somewhere - but by all our current knowledge (which is increased by this research) it appears our solar system is exceptional in this regard. An argument that we can't know completely is not an aargument that we don't know what the evidence thus far is making increasingly clear. This is what I mean when I say you are arguing from the gaps - you are trying to disprove what we know by what we don't know.

quote:

So those are the premises for your argument. It doesn't look good for ID at this point, but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt. From these premises, how do you reach "there must be a designer" ?


There are voluminous reasons to see the universe, life, and humanity as designed - but this is simply the latest evidence in regards to our solar system. It’s just another brick.

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 52
RE: The Solar System is Special - 8/28/2008 1:35:25 AM   
BVZ

 

Posts: 355
Joined: 11/2/2006
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud

quote:

You admit that you have no argument. You don't have any logical pathway leading to your conclusion. When I pointed this out to you in post 44, you responded with this, in post 45:


Well, I never made that particular argument to begin with; you assumed it.


From the OP:
So we seem to live in a finely-tuned universe, in a rare place in the galaxy, in a special solar system, on a planet that appears to be more than capable of supporting life. At what point does believing it's an accident become the real leap of faith?

Your question clearly implies your argument. You argue that since we live in a 'finely tuned universe', 'in a rare place in the galaxy', 'in a special solar system', 'on a planet that appears more than capable of supporting life', it must be designed.

I simply asked you to support this.

quote:


quote:

You admit that you have no argument. You don't have any logical pathway leading to your conclusion. When I pointed this out to you in post 44, you responded with this, in post 45:


Well, no, I am simply arguing that contrary to the Copernican Principle our solar system appears to be exceptional. You have presented no evidence to the contrary.


Are you NOT attempting to support ID IN ANY WAY in this thread? Because if you are not, I suggest you edit your OP to inform people who read it, becuase the moment the way the OP is written indicates that you ARE trying to support ID in this thread.

quote:


quote:

So, now you are saying that you do have an argument. You obviously don't.

Here are your options:

1) Present an argument presenting your case.
2) Stop pretending that you have an argument.


It's a simple argument - I made it several times - you never demonstrated anything to the contrary.


No, you did not.

In fact, you pretty much admitted that you don't even have an argument.

I'll quote you: (from post 41)
Juhd: Well, I don’t think that the fine-tuning of the universe, the precise location of our planet in the galaxy, the uniqueness of the organization of our solar system, the necessary atmospheric and geological make-up of our planet as well as the the unique series of events leading to life’s origin cause us to ‘reach a designer’ per se, it just causes conclusions to the contrary to appear absurd, or at least a great leap of faith, which they are of course.

You are saying that you don't have an argument, but you do have a conclusion. Your entire argument rests on 'the alternative to appear absurd'. There is a name for this kind of argument, where you argue that since something is counter-intuitive, it cannot be true. It's calles argument from incrudility.

quote:


quote:

The way you use 'exceptional' here, is NOT objective. Also, it makes no difference.

Lets use exceptional in stead and see where that gets us:

Do you have an argument that leads if from "the Earth is exceptional" to "the Earth is designed"? If you have, present it.


I presented the latest research in the OP.


You also, like I pointed out earlier in this post, admitted that you DON'T have an actual logical argument supporting your claims. This reduces your OP to an unsupported claim, or a blind assertion.

quote:


quote:

How dishonest of you.

Here is the original quote:

Juhd: But you are the one basing your belief on gaps in our knowledge, not I.

I respond with this:

BVZ: What are those? Examples please.

YOU CHANGED THE QUOTES! You claimed that evolution supporters 'are the ones basing thier beliefs on gaps in thier knowledge'. I ask for examples.

Support your claim, or retract it.


You have made a bit of a muddle. I am simply saying that despite your assertion that we can't prove there is no other life in the universe, we can say that at this point in our knowledge our solar system is exceptional.


You can say it, but how is saying it of any use?

quote:


quote:

Answer the question. Do you agree that we don't know if there is life outside out solar system or not?


Sure, just as I agree we don't know that there are unicorns in a secret forest somewhere - but by all our current knowledge (which is increased by this research) it appears our solar system is exceptional in this regard. An argument that we can't know completely is not an aargument that we don't know what the evidence thus far is making increasingly clear. This is what I mean when I say you are arguing from the gaps - you are trying to disprove what we know by what we don't know.


So, you agree that we don't know. Good. So, since you don't know if there is life out there or not, why do you think the Earth is special again?

quote:


quote:

So those are the premises for your argument. It doesn't look good for ID at this point, but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt. From these premises, how do you reach "there must be a designer" ?


There are voluminous reasons to see the universe, life, and humanity as designed - but this is simply the latest evidence in regards to our solar system. It’s just another brick.


Here you say you have reasons again. Privide me with an argument, or stop pretending you have one.
Post #: 53
RE: The Solar System is Special - 8/28/2008 11:51:33 AM   
Jhud


Posts: 7749
Joined: 4/11/2005
From: Lake Wobegon
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quote:

quote:

From the OP:
So we seem to live in a finely-tuned universe, in a rare place in the galaxy, in a special solar system, on a planet that appears to be more than capable of supporting life. At what point does believing it's an accident become the real leap of faith?

Your question clearly implies your argument. You argue that since we live in a 'finely tuned universe', 'in a rare place in the galaxy', 'in a special solar system', 'on a planet that appears more than capable of supporting life', it must be designed.

I simply asked you to support this.


I asked a question, which readers are free to answer for themselves – at what point do a series finely-tuned complex specificities of an exceptional nature indicate guidance? Atheists may claim ‘never’, but I think that is a statement of faith, because they must resort to ever more absurd schema (for example, ‘multi-verses’) to explain away such realities.

quote:

Are you NOT attempting to support ID IN ANY WAY in this thread? Because if you are not, I suggest you edit your OP to inform people who read it, becuase the moment the way the OP is written indicates that you ARE trying to support ID in this thread.


I think you are the only one who is confused.

quote:

You are saying that you don't have an argument, but you do have a conclusion. Your entire argument rests on 'the alternative to appear absurd'. There is a name for this kind of argument, where you argue that since something is counter-intuitive, it cannot be true. It's calles argument from incrudility.


Actually, my goal was simply to point out that the current findings contradicts the Copernican Principle – that being the mid-20th century paradigm generally accepted by science that the earth holds no privileged place in the universe. No obviously, this paradigm is based on certain assumptions since we can’t, as you yourself have pointed out, know absolutely what position the earth holds in the universe, but the research I cited (utilizing observations and computer simulations) gives us a better picture.

And based on that research, we can say that the Copernican Principle isn’t fairing at well, that the earth (at least in it’s place in our solar system) does appear to be exceptional, and remains so until we find facts to the contrary.

quote:

You also, like I pointed out earlier in this post, admitted that you DON'T have an actual logical argument supporting your claims. This reduces your OP to an unsupported claim, or a blind assertion.


Actually I think the statement above is more than logical.

quote:

You can say it, but how is saying it of any use?


It simply contradicts the Copernican Principle, which is of great use in forming a more complete understanding of the universe in which we live – presumably the goal of science.

quote:

So, you agree that we don't know. Good. So, since you don't know if there is life out there or not, why do you think the Earth is special again?


Because based on our current knowledge, it is exceptional not only in having life, but in existing in a solar system perfectly suited for life.

But this is a basic Popperian falsification schema with which I am surprised that you, a presumed doyen of science, are unfamiliar. As Popper made clear, a proper scientific statement should be amenable to falsification – thus, the statement ‘All swans are white’. Now such a statement (like all good scientific statements) can’t be proven, but it can be disproven – by a single observation to the contrary in fact.

And so, saying the earth and its solar system is exceptional in terms of its ability to support life is properly stated a la Popper, and so is eminently scientific.

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 54
RE: The Solar System is Special - 8/28/2008 10:07:15 PM   
EcclesFruitcake

 

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Jack I think you have just been wooed by some somewhat sensationalist journalism.

For starters the search for exoplanets is a relatively new endeavour and generally the planets found thus far are the ones which are easiest to find.

The techniques used are more likely to find planets with a large mass and a close orbit as these produce greater irregularities in a stars motion as they have a greater effect on the systems local centre of gravity.

Moreover, a planet which is close to its star will complete an orbit quickly which means that patterns in data will be repeated quicker. So they are also easier to confirm.

FYI our Jupiter completes an orbit every 11.86 years, therefore to confirm a large planet like Jupiter can take a lot of time.

As to whether our place in the universe is special or not history has proven so far that the more we know the less special our location has become.

Many moons ago we thought we lived at the centre of the universe now we know that it is just the rest of the universe trying to get away from us ;)
Post #: 55
RE: The Solar System is Special - 8/28/2008 10:27:27 PM   
Jhud


Posts: 7749
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From: Lake Wobegon
Status: offline
quote:

Jack I think you have just been wooed by some somewhat sensationalist journalism.

For starters the search for exoplanets is a relatively new endeavour and generally the planets found thus far are the ones which are easiest to find.

The techniques used are more likely to find planets with a large mass and a close orbit as these produce greater irregularities in a stars motion as they have a greater effect on the systems local centre of gravity.

Moreover, a planet which is close to its star will complete an orbit quickly which means that patterns in data will be repeated quicker. So they are also easier to confirm.

FYI our Jupiter completes an orbit every 11.86 years, therefore to confirm a large planet like Jupiter can take a lot of time.

As to whether our place in the universe is special or not history has proven so far that the more we know the less special our location has become.

Many moons ago we thought we lived at the centre of the universe now we know that it is just the rest of the universe trying to get away from us


Actually, if you read the details, the observations are confirmed by computer models - and while I agree there is more to know, I a willing to predict that our solar system will be found to be rare indeed, if not unique.

And as far as we know, we may be the at the center of the universe.

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 56
RE: The Solar System is Special - 8/28/2008 11:16:36 PM   
EcclesFruitcake

 

Posts: 48
Joined: 1/15/2008
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quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud

Actually, if you read the details, the observations are confirmed by computer models - and while I agree there is more to know, I a willing to predict that our solar system will be found to be rare indeed, if not unique.

And as far as we know, we may be the at the center of the universe.



Yes, I don't disagree with the observations I just think it is a bit premature to make strong conclusions.

Here is a great table with details about discovered exoplanets.

"Mjup" is mass relative to Jupiter, Earth has an Mjup of 0.003.

1 AU is the mean distance from Earth to the Sun.

And orbit eccentricity (e) is the amount of deviance from a circular orbit; of the planets in our solar system Mercury is the most eccentric with about 0.2e...

but "Orbital simulations indicate that the eccentricity of Mercury’s orbit varies chaotically from 0 (circular) to a very high 0.47 over millions of years" (from wiki)
Post #: 57
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/1/2008 7:17:22 AM   
BVZ

 

Posts: 355
Joined: 11/2/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud

quote:

quote:

From the OP:
So we seem to live in a finely-tuned universe, in a rare place in the galaxy, in a special solar system, on a planet that appears to be more than capable of supporting life. At what point does believing it's an accident become the real leap of faith?

Your question clearly implies your argument. You argue that since we live in a 'finely tuned universe', 'in a rare place in the galaxy', 'in a special solar system', 'on a planet that appears more than capable of supporting life', it must be designed.

I simply asked you to support this.


I asked a question, which readers are free to answer for themselves – at what point do a series finely-tuned complex specificities of an exceptional nature indicate guidance? Atheists may claim ‘never’, but I think that is a statement of faith, because they must resort to ever more absurd schema (for example, ‘multi-verses’) to explain away such realities.


So you are NOT trying to syppord ID in the OP?

quote:


quote:

Are you NOT attempting to support ID IN ANY WAY in this thread? Because if you are not, I suggest you edit your OP to inform people who read it, becuase the moment the way the OP is written indicates that you ARE trying to support ID in this thread.


I think you are the only one who is confused.


Are you, or are not not trying to support ID in this thread?

quote:


quote:

You are saying that you don't have an argument, but you do have a conclusion. Your entire argument rests on 'the alternative to appear absurd'. There is a name for this kind of argument, where you argue that since something is counter-intuitive, it cannot be true. It's calles argument from incrudility.


Actually, my goal was simply to point out that the current findings contradicts the Copernican Principle – that being the mid-20th century paradigm generally accepted by science that the earth holds no privileged place in the universe. No obviously, this paradigm is based on certain assumptions since we can’t, as you yourself have pointed out, know absolutely what position the earth holds in the universe, but the research I cited (utilizing observations and computer simulations) gives us a better picture.


Like I said before, this is a valid position. If that was the only thing you are trying to show, great. Is that the ONLY thing you are trying to show in this thread?

quote:


And based on that research, we can say that the Copernican Principle isn’t fairing at well, that the earth (at least in it’s place in our solar system) does appear to be exceptional, and remains so until we find facts to the contrary.


So?

quote:


quote:

You also, like I pointed out earlier in this post, admitted that you DON'T have an actual logical argument supporting your claims. This reduces your OP to an unsupported claim, or a blind assertion.


Actually I think the statement above is more than logical.


When you use the word 'logical' the way you just used it, does that mean you DO have an argument? If you do, please present it.

quote:


quote:

You can say it, but how is saying it of any use?


It simply contradicts the Copernican Principle, which is of great use in forming a more complete understanding of the universe in which we live – presumably the goal of science.


Again, if you want to discredit the Copernical Priniciple. As long as you are not attempting to suppord ID I see no problem.

quote:


quote:

So, you agree that we don't know. Good. So, since you don't know if there is life out there or not, why do you think the Earth is special again?


Because based on our current knowledge, it is exceptional not only in having life, but in existing in a solar system perfectly suited for life.


So it goes something like this:
Statement 1: I don't know if Earth is the only planet with life on it.
Question 1: Why do you think the Earth is special?
Statement 2: Because it is the only planet with life on it.

Do you see that Statement 1 and Statement 2 contradict each other?

Also, this is an ABSOLUTELY CLASSIC God of the Gaps argument. Basically you are fitting God into the gaps in our knowledge. The gaps in out knowledge is weather other planets contain life or not. We don't know yet. You can't base your arguments on something we DON'T KNOW YET.

quote:


But this is a basic Popperian falsification schema with which I am surprised that you, a presumed doyen of science, are unfamiliar. As Popper made clear, a proper scientific statement should be amenable to falsification – thus, the statement ‘All swans are white’. Now such a statement (like all good scientific statements) can’t be proven, but it can be disproven – by a single observation to the contrary in fact.

And so, saying the earth and its solar system is exceptional in terms of its ability to support life is properly stated a la Popper, and so is eminently scientific.


In science this is called an assumption. For instance, we assume that the lows of nature do not change.
With this assumption in place, we create theories.
These theories then create predictions.
These predictions are then compared with reality to see if they are accurate.
If the predictions are accurate, the theories are accurate.
If the theories are accurate, the assumptions are accurate.

Now, you assume that the earth is the only planet with life on it.
Feel free to make this assumption, as you say, making assumptions is often part of science.
Now, all you have to do is create a theory based on this assumption. Please, tell me what this thoery you have made is.
Then you have to create predictions using the theory you have created. What are these predictions?
Then you have to compare these predictions with REALITY, and see if they are accurate. Have you done this?

I don't have a problem with your hypothesis, because like you say, it is in fact a valid one. What I am having a problem with is that you reach conclusions (a designer), without showing how you do so. What you have is an hypothesis, that Earth is the only planet containing life.

Where will you go from there?
Post #: 58
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/1/2008 3:07:49 PM   
Jhud


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From: Lake Wobegon
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quote:

So you are NOT trying to syppord ID in the OP?


My main purpose was to contradict the Copernican Principle.

quote:

Like I said before, this is a valid position. If that was the only thing you are trying to show, great. Is that the ONLY thing you are trying to show in this thread?


Thank you for validating my position.

quote:

When you use the word 'logical' the way you just used it, does that mean you DO have an argument? If you do, please present it.


I made the argument, and you agreed it was valid.

quote:

Again, if you want to discredit the Copernical Priniciple. As long as you are not attempting to suppord ID I see no problem.


It simply invalidates the materialist postion - I am glad you agree it's valid.

quote:

So it goes something like this:
Statement 1: I don't know if Earth is the only planet with life on it.
Question 1: Why do you think the Earth is special?
Statement 2: Because it is the only planet with life on it.

Do you see that Statement 1 and Statement 2 contradict each other?

Also, this is an ABSOLUTELY CLASSIC God of the Gaps argument. Basically you are fitting God into the gaps in our knowledge. The gaps in out knowledge is weather other planets contain life or not. We don't know yet. You can't base your arguments on something we DON'T KNOW YET.


Actually, it's a negation, not an argument. The Copernican principle is just as absurd, but widely accepted. It goes like this:

1. Everything in the universe is explainable through ordinary forces acting within the universe.
2. The earth is the product of the same forces that have acted on other stars, star systems, and planets.
3. The earth is ordinary in it's place in the the universe and composition of the system in which it exists.

I think these latest findings cast that belief into doubt.

_____________________________

Jack

It has been said that politics is the second oldest profession. I have learned that it bears a striking resemblance to the first..
- Ronald Reagan
Post #: 59
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/2/2008 6:48:55 AM   
BVZ

 

Posts: 355
Joined: 11/2/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud

quote:

So you are NOT trying to syppord ID in the OP?


My main purpose was to contradict the Copernican Principle.

quote:

Like I said before, this is a valid position. If that was the only thing you are trying to show, great. Is that the ONLY thing you are trying to show in this thread?


Thank you for validating my position.

quote:

When you use the word 'logical' the way you just used it, does that mean you DO have an argument? If you do, please present it.


I made the argument, and you agreed it was valid.

quote:

Again, if you want to discredit the Copernical Priniciple. As long as you are not attempting to suppord ID I see no problem.


It simply invalidates the materialist postion - I am glad you agree it's valid.

quote:

So it goes something like this:
Statement 1: I don't know if Earth is the only planet with life on it.
Question 1: Why do you think the Earth is special?
Statement 2: Because it is the only planet with life on it.

Do you see that Statement 1 and Statement 2 contradict each other?

Also, this is an ABSOLUTELY CLASSIC God of the Gaps argument. Basically you are fitting God into the gaps in our knowledge. The gaps in out knowledge is weather other planets contain life or not. We don't know yet. You can't base your arguments on something we DON'T KNOW YET.


Actually, it's a negation, not an argument. The Copernican principle is just as absurd, but widely accepted. It goes like this:

1. Everything in the universe is explainable through ordinary forces acting within the universe.
2. The earth is the product of the same forces that have acted on other stars, star systems, and planets.
3. The earth is ordinary in it's place in the the universe and composition of the system in which it exists.

I think these latest findings cast that belief into doubt.


Okay lets focus in the Copernican principle:

1. Everything in the universe is explainable through ordinary forces acting within the universe.

This is a scientific assumption, like I described at the end of my previous thread. How does anything in your OP contradict this point?

2. The earth is the product of the same forces that have acted on other stars, star systems, and planets.

What are the forces you think acted on our solar system and planet, that did not act on others?

3. The earth is ordinary in it's place in the the universe and composition of the system in which it exists.

If you think that the Earth is not ordinary, what exactly do you think has an effect on the Earth, that does not have an effect on other planets?
Post #: 60
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/3/2008 2:09:59 AM   
Real_Solitude


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Not to rain on this parade or anything, but there are a few things I haven't seen mentioned in this debate yet.

First, our technology has really only allowed us to see either massive or large planets. It's much harder to detect small planets, or planets of comparably low mass than it is to detect gas giants. The smallest planet we've been able to detect (that I can find) is 1.5 Earth masses. It really shouldn't come as a surprise that the majority of planets we've found have been big, because big planets are easier to find. It's a bit of a leap to assume that Earth mass and lower planets are rare. It should first be assumed that either the method, or the technology is lacking to detect them, considering that 4 of our 8 planets are near Earth mass or lower.

Second, one of the lower-mass planets that we have found, Gliese 581 c, seems to be within it's star's habitable zone. Even if this is the only of the 306 exoplanets to be low-mass and exist in a habitable zone (I don't know if it is, it's just the only one I know about), then 1/300 isn't all that bad of a ratio for habitable-zone planets. Especially if the average star turns out to have multiple planets.
Gliese 581 c is almost certainly a hothouse planet, but Gliese 581 d also exists within the habitable-zone (granted, on the outer edge.)

Third, one recent study (link) suggests that lower-mass planets may be much more common than the easily-detectable gas giants, by a ratio of as much as 3/1.

If anything, I'd say that we don't know nearly enough about other solar systems to draw any definitive conclusions about the commonality or uniqueness of our own.

_____________________________

"Instead of feeling alone in a group its better to have real solitude all by yourself."
~Faye Valentine
Post #: 61
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/3/2008 8:49:21 AM   
BVZ

 

Posts: 355
Joined: 11/2/2006
Status: offline
quote:

ORIGINAL: Real_Solitude

Not to rain on this parade or anything, but there are a few things I haven't seen mentioned in this debate yet.

First, our technology has really only allowed us to see either massive or large planets. It's much harder to detect small planets, or planets of comparably low mass than it is to detect gas giants. The smallest planet we've been able to detect (that I can find) is 1.5 Earth masses. It really shouldn't come as a surprise that the majority of planets we've found have been big, because big planets are easier to find. It's a bit of a leap to assume that Earth mass and lower planets are rare. It should first be assumed that either the method, or the technology is lacking to detect them, considering that 4 of our 8 planets are near Earth mass or lower.

Second, one of the lower-mass planets that we have found, Gliese 581 c, seems to be within it's star's habitable zone. Even if this is the only of the 306 exoplanets to be low-mass and exist in a habitable zone (I don't know if it is, it's just the only one I know about), then 1/300 isn't all that bad of a ratio for habitable-zone planets. Especially if the average star turns out to have multiple planets.
Gliese 581 c is almost certainly a hothouse planet, but Gliese 581 d also exists within the habitable-zone (granted, on the outer edge.)

Third, one recent study (link) suggests that lower-mass planets may be much more common than the easily-detectable gas giants, by a ratio of as much as 3/1.

If anything, I'd say that we don't know nearly enough about other solar systems to draw any definitive conclusions about the commonality or uniqueness of our own.


Exactly. I have also pointed out that we are not even sure if the planets IN OUT OWN SOLAR SYSTEM are completely devoid of life. If we can't even be sure about THEM, why even start mentioning planets OUTSIDE our solar system?
Post #: 62
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/3/2008 12:41:03 PM   
GHitch


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quote:

ORIGINAL: Jhud
Actually, if you read the details, the observations are confirmed by computer models - and while I agree there is more to know, I a willing to predict that our solar system will be found to be rare indeed, if not unique.

And as far as we know, we may be the at the center of the universe.

Interstingly, there is some evidence that is actually beginning to sugest that this is true. See here

Of course Humphreys' a creationist so no big surprise, yet his credentials and research are good enouogh to make the whole thing look worthwhile study and 'let's see where this data leads' incentives.

From the article :
quote:

Over the last few decades, astronomers have discovered that the redshifts of the galaxies are not evenly distributed but are 'quantized', i.e., they tend to fall into distinct groups. This means that the distances to the galaxies also fall into groups, with each group of galaxies forming a conceptual spherical shell. The shells turn out to be about a million light-years apart.

It is remarkable that the shells are all concentric and all centered on our home galaxy, the Milky Way. If they weren't, we would not see groups of redshifts. Russ Humphreys shows that groups would only be distinct from each other if our viewing location were less than a million light years (a trivial distance on the scale of the universe) from the center.

The odds for the Earth having such a unique position in the cosmos by accident are less than one in a trillion.

In any case there are more and more studies showing up, as new tech emerges to increse our ability to see farther, that point to a unique solar system.

That said, it is impossible at this time to declare anything absolutely since we simply don't know beans about what's actually "out there".

I'm still betting on the special creation side though!
Design is more than obvious. Otherwise why designoids? And why Crick's famous,
quote:

"Biologists must constantly keep in mind that what they see was not designed, but rather evolved."
? (same applies to everything else in nature)

_____________________________

"The notion that not only the biopolymer but the operating program of a living cell could be arrived at by chance in a primordial organic soup here on the Earth is evidently nonsense of a high order." Sir F. Hoyle
Post #: 63
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/3/2008 3:11:22 PM   
essentialsaltes


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quote:

ORIGINAL: GHitch

Interstingly, there is some evidence that is actually beginning to sugest that this is true. See here

Of course Humphreys' a creationist so no big surprise, yet his credentials and research are good enouogh to make the whole thing look worthwhile study and 'let's see where this data leads' incentives.


Quantized redshifts have been studied for decades, and it is not clear that it even exists, apart from weak coincidental effects. Of course, in the standard cosmological model, there is no center of the universe. Equivalently, everywhere is the center of the universe, including Earth. But again, the Earth is not special in that case.

_____________________________

"My object in all arguments is not to make any preconceived opinion of mine seem right, but merely to discover and establish the truth, whatever the truth may be."

-- HP Lovecraft, letter to Robert E. Howard 7/27-28/34
Post #: 64
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/4/2008 12:13:51 PM   
GHitch


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quote:

ORIGINAL: essentialsaltes
Quantized redshifts have been studied for decades, and it is not clear that it even exists, apart from weak coincidental effects.
Sure but there are a lot physicists who claim it's a proven fact. We'll see soon enough.

quote:

Of course, in the standard cosmological model, there is no center of the universe. Equivalently, everywhere is the center of the universe, including Earth. But again, the Earth is not special in that case.

I have a problem with the "everywhere is the center" concept. Think about it for a second. No mater where you are in the universe, you are at the center? Doesn't make any sense spatially in an expanding universe wherein there must be a farthest point out from the original expanse or 'singularity'.
Does that mean that no matter where you move in space you're always at the same point in relation to the whole?
Perhaps I'm not familiar enough with the physics involved but there appears to be a logical incoherency to that idea.
Even when factoring in that 3D 'space' itself was created from nothing and thus began nowhere this seems to be illogical.
Otherwise why do scientists now claim to have measured the size of the universe? If everywhere is the center how can you measure anything? Since you start from point A and meauser to point B. But if A and B are spatially equal, which is the case if both are the center, then you haven't measured anything at all. Right? Am I making any sense here?

_____________________________

"The notion that not only the biopolymer but the operating program of a living cell could be arrived at by chance in a primordial organic soup here on the Earth is evidently nonsense of a high order." Sir F. Hoyle
Post #: 65
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/4/2008 1:31:38 PM   
essentialsaltes


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quote:

ORIGINAL: GHitch
I have a problem with the "everywhere is the center" concept. Think about it for a second. No mater where you are in the universe, you are at the center? Doesn't make any sense spatially in an expanding universe wherein there must be a farthest point out from the original expanse or 'singularity'.


No, the singularity was everywhere. The universe isn't an explosion that's spreading out into pre-existing space. The old stand-by analogy is galaxies as pennies taped to a balloon. There is no edge to the balloon; no wall where you run out of universe. If you were an ant walking on the balloon, you would never run into a boundary; nor can you walk to the 'center' of the balloon because there isn't any balloon there - we are all trapped on the surface of the balloon, which is the only space that exists. As time goes on, the balloon inflates and everything gets further apart. As we run the clock backward the balloon deflates and everything gets closer and closer together, everywhere on the balloon. At some point, the density of matter gets so high that our physics breaks down -- that's the singularity, and it happens everywhere in the universe.

quote:

Otherwise why do scientists now claim to have measured the size of the universe?


Most of those are measurements of the observable universe, roughly speaking how far away we could conceivably see things, given the limitation of the speed of light. The most recent data suggests that the universe has an open geometry, and this requires that the universe is actually infinite in spatial extent. But light from most of the infinite universe hasn't had enough time to get to us to be part of our observable universe.

quote:

If everywhere is the center how can you measure anything? Since you start from point A and meauser to point B. But if A and B are spatially equal, which is the case if both are the center, then you haven't measured anything at all. Right? Am I making any sense here?


Yes, you're making sense. If a 'center' is a unique location, then you can't have more than one center. There was no unique center location where an explosion occured, so in that sense, the universe has no center.

However, every observer will see galaxies receding away from him or her; every penny will see the other pennies moving away from it, so every location appears to be the 'center' of the universe's expansion. But this is not meant to imply that all points are at the same place!

_____________________________

"My object in all arguments is not to make any preconceived opinion of mine seem right, but merely to discover and establish the truth, whatever the truth may be."

-- HP Lovecraft, letter to Robert E. Howard 7/27-28/34
Post #: 66
RE: The Solar System is Special - 9/4/2008 1:56:01 PM   
Veritas